一个有关主宰时间因子探索的故事

seeplay

外文是盲点,期待老大翻译一下

xingjw

W. D.江恩的交易记录——1935年
期货：
棉花、谷物和橡胶的交易笔数——98笔，其中83笔盈利，15笔亏损。
准确率……………………………………………………………………………………..85%
盈亏比……………………………………………………………………………………..82%
资金利润率………………………………………………………………………………336%
股票：
交易笔数——34笔，其中29笔盈利，5笔亏损。
准确率…………………………………………………………………………………...85.5%
盈亏比……………………………………………………………………………………..83%
资金利润率………………………………………………………………………………100%

如此准确的交易记录表明，W.D.江恩发现了主宰时间因子(Master Time Factor)和循环理论（Cycle theory)，它们现在有效，将来仍然会有效。

xingjw

第七章  发现传奇的主宰时间因子！

In writing this little booklet, I thought, if I could just get to the part about the master time factor, I could write about it with ease because that had been the object of my search. But, alas, I now find it to be the most difficult chapter of all. Perhaps, it has something to do with the "fatal" evil number. (Just kidding)
在撰写这本小册子的时候，我曾经认为，如果到了主宰时间因子这一部分，那么我写起来会很轻松，因为这就是我的研究课题。但是，唉，现在我发现，这是所有章节中最难写的一章。也许，因为这一章就是“决定命运的”魔鬼数字【7】（开个玩笑）。

As I told you earlier I am a seeker, not a writer, but, since we are here there is nothing for me to do, but plug along. There are several reasons for my difficulty in writing this chapter for you. One, I may have set a goal higher than I could reach. My goal, simply has been to write the most lucid explanation of Mr. Gann’s Master Time Factor that has yet been put in print. I already know that I have not done as well as I had hoped.
正如我早前告诉你的，我是一个探索者，而不是一个作家。但是，既然我们已经走到这里，对我而言，除了竭我所能之外，别无选择。写作本章之所以困难，有几个原因。第一个原因是，我可能将目标设得过高。我的目标就是将江恩先生尚未公开的主宰时间因子解释清楚。现在我知道，我达不到原先希望的那样好。

I feel that part of the cause for this relates to the nature of the material that I am dealing with. There has been tremendous mystique built up about and around Mr. Gann. Part of this justly, because he was a remarkable man; but part of it has been built up to allow the commercialization of his works. I am participating in that commercialization (gosh, that's a long word, do you realize it has 17 letters in it?) right now at this moment.
我感觉，部分原因是与我遇到的资料性质有关。【这些资料】给江恩先生增添了很多的神秘色彩。一方面是因为他确实是一个非常了不起的人，但是，另一方面也是为了满足其作品商品化的需要。此时此刻，我正在参与这个商品化【的过程】（哦，commercialization这是一个很长的单词，你意识到了吗，它有17个字母）。

xingjw

There is nothing wrong with the word commercial. Profit is a beautiful word. It is the GOOD(s) received for the GOOD(s) given. It’s just that we get in trouble sometimes when we want to receive more than we want to give. Also, we get the order reversed, we must GIVE-then GET, not GET-then GIVE, and (this is all cohered in “The Seeker’s Creed”. My goal in writing this booklet has been to give you to worth your money. I hope that I accomplish this, if I do nothing else.
商业化（commercial）这个词本身没有错。利润也是一个漂亮的单词。付出就该有回报。正因为如此，有时候当我们得到的比付出的更多时，就会遇到麻烦。此外，我们将顺序颠倒一下，我们必须先给予而后获得，而不是先获得而后给予（这就是《探索者信条》中贯穿始终的原则）。写作这本小册子的目的，就是为了让你物有所值。我希望，我做到了这一点，即使其他的我什么也没做。

Another difficult problem that I have in writing this chapter is the nature of the diversity of the exposure to the Gann materials that is represented by my readers. Some of you know more about the Gann work than I do; some of you have had very little exposure to his work. So I must try to encompass both extremes. There are many things that I would like to say to you, but I can only cover so much in this little booklet.
写作本章中的另一个困难在于，我的读者对江恩著作的了解各有不同。你们中有些人比我更了解江恩的著作。还有些人对于他的著作知之甚少。所以，我必须对这两种极端情况都要有所照顾。有很多事情，我想要告诉你，但是在这份小册里，我只能说这么多。

I want to merely show you where I found the "path" to be, and say, here’s a good place to start. Every person is unique and his (her) trading rules need to be unique. Once, you "see" the path, many of you will achieve a much better understanding of the Gann material and I am sure that you will learn many things of market value in the months and years to come.
我只想告诉你“路”在何方，并且告诉你，这里是一个很好的起点。每个人都是独一无二的，所以，他（她）的交易规则也需要是独一无二的。一旦，你们“找到”了方向，你们中很多人将对江恩著作有更好的理解。我确信，在未来的日子里，你将会学到很多东西。

xingjw

Another problem that I have concerns the fact that Mr. Gann left no clear explanation (that was available to me) of what his master time factor was; nor, did he explain it anywhere (that I have ever been able to find), except as I have given you in Appendices III and IV. And in those two beautiful pieces, he didn’t just come out and say, "O.K., here it is and here's how you use it as the master time factor".
我遇到的另一个问题是，江恩先生没有明确解释（对我而言）他的主宰时间因子是什么。他也没有在除了附录III和IV.以外的任何（我能找到的）著作里，对此做出解释。在这两份重要的资料中，他并没有公开说，“好，它就在这里，这里就有如何使用主宰时间因子的方法。”

He HID IT, just like he said he was doing in the quote from Emerson in his book, "TRUTH OF THE STOCK TAPE". He hid it because he knew that if it was passed around with it all spelled out in his lesson then anyone could see what it was and that would be the end of the mystique of the master time factor and his livelihood depended to a large extent on the sale of his advisory letter and annual forecast until he sold it in 1947-48. And he hid it because he said it was too valuable to be "spread broadcast".

他将它藏了起来，正如他在《股票交易真谛》一书中所引用的爱默生的话。他将它藏起来，是因为他知道，如果他在课程中将它讲清楚，那么所有人都将知道它是什么，这将终结主宰时间因子的神秘光环，以及很大程度上依靠销售资讯和一直持续到1947～1948年的年度预测而进行的生活方式。他将它隐藏起来，是因为他说它太有价值了，因此不能广泛传播。

He hid it the way the ancients did-out in the open. Then if someone that was not supposed to have it should stumble across it or steal it, it would do them no good, because they could not understand it. And, that, in my opinion is why we find no copy of it today other than the one that I give you in Appendix IV. If you can see this clearly it will help you with the explanation as we go through it.
他按照前人的方式将它隐藏起来——即藏秘于明。于是，如果某人不应该拥有它，就会遇到困难。它对他们来说没有好处，因为他们并不能理解它。在我看来，这就是为什么今天我们没有看到它，除了我给你附录IV《主宰时间因子和预测》课程。如果你能够清楚这一点，在我们讲解的过程中，这将对你有所帮助。

xingjw

Then I have two more problems (nothing but problems, huh?); and they are related to a certain extent. The first one, we have talked about until you are tired of hearing it (but if I can't get you to SEE IT, perhaps I can get you to HEAR IT); and that problem, many of my friends, is that you will not believe what I tell you because, YOU, TOO, JUST LIKE ME, HAVE DEVELOPED YOUR OWN "MINDSET" THAT WILL NOT ALLOW YOU TO SEE (RECOGNIZE) THE TRUTH EVEN WHEN IT IS THERE FOR YOU TO LOOK AT.
于是，我又有了两个问题（呵呵，除了问题啥也没有？），某种程度上，它们是相互关联的。第一个问题我们已经谈论过，除非你对此厌倦（但是，如果我不能让你看到它，也许我可以让你听到它）。对很多朋友来说，这个问题就是你不相信我所告诉你的内容。因为，你也像我一样，有自己的“思维模式”，使你看不到（或辨识不出）真相，即使它就在你眼前。

You have already set in your mind from what you have read about Mr. Gann’s master time factor, or what you have heard about it, or what some Gann expert has told you it was, or what the myths of commercialization has indicated that it was, or that "formula11 that someone has that no one can decipher, or some idea of your own-that it will call all bottoms or tops, or the hour or the day of this or that-, whatever you are "looking for" is what you expect to see (My creed explains this to you).
你所读到或听到的主宰时间因子，或者一些江恩专家所告诉你的【解释】，或者一些商业化的故事所介绍的【内容】，或者某人所拥有的别人无法理解的“公式”，或者某些你自己的想法，都让你在心里形成了思维定式——无论你正在寻找什么，它都是你原本期望看到的（我的信条解释了这一点）。

How do I know that many of you will approach the explanation of the master time factor in this manner?  Because I HAVE BEEN THERE ALREADY. My entire story thus far, has been designed to get you to understand this MOST IMPORTANT TRUTH. From the very beginning of my story, I have been trying to get you to SEE how this tremendous fault (and potential for good if changed) has caused all of my problems.
我怎么知道你们中很多人以这种方式知道江恩的主宰时间因子呢？因为我就曾经是这样。迄今为止，我的整个故事就是为了让你理解这一最重要的事实。从故事一开始，我就努力让你明白这种缺点（和潜在的好处，如果改变的话）如何导致我的所有问题。

xingjw

I have been trying to get you to the point that you would SEE my mistakes clear enough that you would not make them yourself. I knew that if I didn't help you prepare a base (foundation) by first exposing the old bad foundation in my building, then you would not be able to see the bad foundation in your own building. You must tear out the bad or weak foundation in your own building before you can build a positive new foundation. (This may have been what the New Testament parable meant about putting new wine in an old wine skin. Matt. 6: 22-23- Yes, I looked for the master time factor there too. I found that the Bible is Indeed a book of natural laws.Read the above verses and you will SEE EXACTLY what I have been trying to say. If you are a "seeker", and you are, otherwise, you would not be reading this booklet,

我努力地让你明白，让你充分地了解了我的错误，就不会自己再犯。我知道，如果不通过揭示我的旧有的错误基石，来帮助你建立一个新的基石，那么你就无法认识到你的错误。在你建立一个正确的新基石之前，你必须彻底拆掉之前错误的或脆弱的基石。(这就是《新约》里提到的“旧瓶装新酒”——马太福音第6节:22-23)。是的，我也在这里寻找主宰时间因子。我发现，圣经实际上就是一本自然法则的书。阅读上面提到的圣经的这一节，你就会清楚我在说什么。如果你是一个“探索者”，并且你确定你是，否则，你就不要再读这本书。

"A SEEKER" WILL LOOK AT ANYTHING; HE (SHE) WILL LEAVE NO STONE UNTURNED. HE (SHE) IS NOT AFRAID TO LOOK, BECAUSE TO SEEK MEANS TO LOOK. EVEN THE WORD SPECULATE MEANS TO LOOK AND OBSERVE. IF YOU WON'T LOOK, THEN DON’T SEEK, BECAUSE THAT’S WHAT SEEKING MEANS AND IF YOU ARE NOT WILLING TO DO THAT WHICH YOU SET OUT TO DO THEN WHY START? DON'T MAKE THE MISTAKES THAT I MADE.
“一个探索者”将观察任何东西，他（她）不会漏过任何东西。他（她）不害怕研究，因为探索的意思就是寻找。尽管“推测”一词意味着寻找和观察。如果你不观察，那么就不要寻找。因为这就是寻找的意义，如果你不打算做你准备做的事情，那么为什么还要开始呢？不要犯我曾犯过的错误。

xingjw

As I said the whole precedence of this story has been to bring you, some of my readers, to this exact point. We have been building a foundation for YOU, a "special pair of glasses", if you will, so that you can see at this point in time with your filters and blinders removed. The reason that I have had to take so much time with this preparation (foundation) is that I had to assume that some of you may have been in as "bad of shape" as I was.
正如我所说的，这个故事首先要让我的读者明白这一点。我们已经为你构建了基础，一副“特制的眼镜”。如果你有了这副眼镜，那么你就可以及时看到，而不会视而不见。我必须花这么多时间来做这个准备（基础），原因是我必须假定你们中一些人可能和我过去一样，处于“不佳的状态”。

The second of those two related problems that I started the above paragraph with relates to the fact that I realize that my "style of writing", if you want to call it that, makes it difficult for you to follow my train of thought. I know that I "jump around a lot" when I am trying to tell you something. And I know that it makes it harder for you to SEE when I am jumping so. If you want to know the REAL REASON for this jumping around, though, it is because I am simply writing this "THING" as it "comes" to me what to say to you.
在上文中所提到的两个相关问题中的第二个，源于我意识到我的写作方式——如果你愿意这么称呼它的话——使你难于跟上我的思路。我知道，当我设法告诉你一些东西的时候，思维有点跳跃。我知道，发现我的思路何时在跳跃，对你来说就更难。如果你想要知道这种跳跃的真正原因，那只不过是因为我想到哪里就写到哪里。

I appreciate your forbearance with me to this point. I ask that you just allow yourself to watch from here forward; and with as unjaundiced eye as you can possibly muster. Don't fight it, if it is not what you were looking for; REAL TRUTHS are seldom what we think they should be; THEY ARE BETTER; it's our vision and understanding that is lacking.
多谢你的忍耐。我请求你，容许自己从这里向下看，尽可能不带偏见。如果这不是你想要的，请不要抵触它。真相很少是我们所认为的那样，它往往更好。它是我们的洞察力和理解力所忽略的东西。

xingjw

Now, here comes the bad news. My jumping around is going to get worse, because in my searching for a way to present the master time factor to you, IT HAS "COME" TO ME, that I must try to explain it by analyzing it for you in the same manner that I did it for myself; and I can tell you that it will really be "jumpy"; but remember this "THING" is just "COMING" and I don't really have any control at this point. Finally, here goes.

现在，坏消息来了。我的思维变得更跳跃，因为就在我寻找一种方式来表述主宰时间因子的过程中，它已经跃入脑海。我必须尽量通过分析它来解释它，就像对我自己那样。我可以告诉你，它真的是跳跃性的。但是，请记住，这个“东西”就要来了，实际上我一点不想控制它。终于，要进入正题喽。

I assume, now that you and I can both see out of the same eyes, that you have read Appendix IV, entitled simply "FORECASTING". I told you that this was as good an explanation of the master time factor as you are probably going to get from Mr. Gann’s own words. The rest of the explanation is going to have to come from our ability to think, see, and observe every clue that it is possible to observe.

假定，你和我能共用一双眼睛，你已经读过标题为“预测”的附录IV（"Master Time Factor & Forecasting by mathematical rules"）。我曾对你说，这是我从江恩自己的用词中，你能得到的有关主宰时间因子的最好解释。其余的解释必然来自我们对所有能够观察的线索的思考、审视和观察能力。

We cannot overlook the smallest detail. You will see things that I don't see and vice-versa. We must pay attention to what he says, what he doesn’t say, and his "style" of writing about other things and at other times. We are going to SEE now. I ASSUME that you are entirely familiar with the lesson "FORECASTING", and my charts that I have made in accordance with the way he would have made them. I also ASSUME that you have read and studied the sales brochure entitled "LEARN BEFORE YOU LOSE OR WHY YOU HAVE LOST MONEY IN STOCKS AND HOW TO MAKE IT BACK". This is in my Appendix III.

我们不能忽视任何微小的细节。你将会观察到我没观察到的——反之也一样。我们必须注意他说了什么，他没说什么，以及他在其他时间“写作”其他内容的方式。现在，我们一起去看。假定，你非常熟悉附录IV “预测”这一课以及我的图表，这些图表和江恩当年做得一样。还要假定，你已经阅读和学习了这份名为《在亏损之前学习》的小册子。它包含在附录III中。

xingjw

Now I am also going to assume that you are pretty well frustrated and disappointed in the master time factor at this point and that you are in fact pretty well convinced that this is just "another rip-off" and that it is not even that wonderful, mysterious, legendary, much sought after "Master Time Factor". Legends aren't made from such stuff as that JUNK.This is WORTHLESS，Just GARBAGE. Why I even WASTED MY TIME with this STUPID booklet in the first place, I don't know. Now my money is GONE. That guy, "THE SEEKER" wouldn’t even use his own name. I don’t blame him. Taking people’s money like that. "His friend" stuck him, now he's found a way to get his money back.

现在，还要假定你非常沮丧，对主宰时间因子完全丧失信心。事实上，你确信这是又一个“骗人”的玩意儿，它甚至不如寻找“主宰时间因子”那般奇妙、神秘和传奇。传奇不是来自像这样的破烂货。这是没有价值的，只是垃圾。我不知道，为什么我要浪费时间在这样从一开始就很愚蠢的小册子上。现在，我的钱都不见了。这个所谓的‘探索者’，甚至不用自己的名字。我不会责备他，像那样拿走我们的钱。他的朋友曾经骗过他，现在，他已经找到把钱赚回来的方法。

Now I know that some of you are thinking and saying these things to yourself right now. I am about to lose your attention as my reader because you see NO VALUE to the master time factor in Appendix IV. Look at the words that you have just used to describe your feelings; they are all CAPITALIZED meaning that they are ALIVE with meaning for you. They are also the same old "mindset" that I must get you to see. Because you have used the above words to describe your reaction to SOMETHING you cannot now see any value to it all. Your emotions as expressed in words has now blinded you. O.K., I need to do two things, FAST.

我知道，你们其中一些人正在这样想，这样说。我将要失去这些读者，因为你们在附录IV中没有看到有关主宰时间因子有价值的东西。请看，你刚才用来描述自身感觉的词：它们全都是大写的，意味着它们对你有意义。它们也同样是我必须让你明白的旧“思维模式”，因为你已经使用上面的单词来描述你看不到任何价值的东西。这些词所表达出来的情绪蒙蔽了你。好，我需要赶快做两件事情。

The first thing I need to do is to get you to look at something else nearby since the object that has the master time factor in. It has disappointed you and you have blinded yourself by your refusal to see it. Since you won’t look at "FORECASTING", I will ask you to look at the sales brochure in Appendix III, Perhaps some of the "light" that you refuse to see in Appendix IV may be "reflected" in Appendix III in "LEARN NOT TO LOSE".

我需要做的第一件事情是，让你看一些东西，因为这部分内容里有主宰时间因子。它让你失去希望，你对它视而不见。由于你不想再看附录IV中《预测》这篇文章，我请你研究一下附录III中的小册子。也许，在附录IV《主宰时间因子》课程中某些你拒绝去看的东西，可能"呈现"在附录III《在亏损之前学习》中。

xingjw

第七章的内容非常多，今天先贴开头的一部分，这部分大部分都是作者自言自语的废话。

xdpkpk

必须支持！

xingjw

替朋友寻找一本书，作者是鲁兆先生的《股市预测宝典》，谁知道哪里有的请帮忙私信联系下。  谢谢！

适时

http://bbs.ruoshui.com/thread-291799-1-1.html

适时

网上搜索一大堆

oey11235

一个有关主宰时间因子探索的故事的作者不是个娘娘腔就是个蛇精病！还是请兄长贴出以后的内容，抱着尊重心来看。

RJSK

xingjw 发表于 2014-7-1 15:17
第七章的内容非常多，今天先贴开头的一部分，这部分大部分都是作者自言自语的废话。

这作者确实好啰嗦
前辈辛苦#*)*#

oey11235

yckk 发表于 2013-12-17 17:53
自然法则----->时间(因子)
波动法则----->空间(波动率)

yckk前辈,Gann有本书叫《华尔街45年》，请问您是根据什么说：“二是人生可用来做交易的时间仅数十年”？

xingjw

oey11235 发表于 2014-7-1 22:48
一个有关主宰时间因子探索的故事的作者不是个娘娘腔就是个蛇精病！还是请兄长贴出以后的内容，抱着尊重心来 ...

不过这本书的作者seeker给出的结论是非常正确的，虽然这本书的废话比较多，可能是作者发现主宰的时间因子确实走了很多的弯路，经历了太多的曲折，所以他故意说了很多的废话一般让那些没有真正的人远离发现主宰的时间因子。

只有那些愿意付出努力，真正做好知识准备的人，才能理解作者真实想要表达的意思。因为主宰的时间因子太有价值而不能被广泛得传播。而且主宰的时间因子确实存在，它的发现者是江恩和远古那些有智慧的古代的占星和星象学家们。

江恩在1908年8月8日做出最伟大的发现就是这个主宰的时间因子，然后再1909年江恩利用他伟大的法则做出了很多惊人的预测，包括那个在1909年夏天让江恩为之一战成名的惊人预测，当时他预测小麦会到达1.20美元。

我可以非常确定的说，江恩每年的年度预测都是基于这个主宰时间因子的伟大发现。

xingjw

xingjw 发表于 2014-7-1 15:14
Now I am also going to assume that you are pretty well frustrated and disappointed in the master tim ...

The second thing that I need to do is to get your attention. I will try to do this by asking you to glance at my monthly charts of the Dow-Jones Averages. You will find them inserted behind Appendix VI. When you are looking at the whole (big) picture, you can lay them out on your floor in 1,2,3 fashion with Sheet 1 (lowest prices) nearest you or your feet, then Sheet 2 joins Sheet 1, then Sheet 3 joins Sheet 2 and you have prices from 0 to $1440.
我要做的第二件事情是引起你的注意。我请你扫一眼道琼斯指数的月线图。你会在附录VI 之后找到它们。当你研究整个大图时，你可以把它们按照图1-2-3的顺序放在地板上，附录VI 的Excel的图表Sheet1（最低价）离你最近，然后是图表Sheet2，然后是图表Sheet3。价格刻度是从 0～1440。

The scale on each sheet increases (you can do scales anyway you want to when you know the master time factor, also you can do angles any way you want to when you know the master time factor) by an increment that I have chosen to show you a possible way to chart (any way is O.K., just so long as YOU know what you are looking at) prices. The prices are not important in this example. I just want to get your attention for a minute so that you will be willing to look at what I am showing you about the master time factor.
每张图表上的刻度都按照我选择的方式来将价格作图（当你知道主宰时间因子时，你可以用任何刻度，当你知道主宰时间因子时，你也可以用任何角度，任何方式都行，只要你知道你在看什么就行)。在本例中，价格并不重要。我只是希望你注意几分钟，以便你能看到我向你介绍的主宰时间因子。